So, we are approaching the end of December. Since we're approaching the end of the year, it seemed like an appropriate time to check in on the ongoing vocal synth projects. Here are my observations.
1) (Almost) All of the verifiable milestones provided for 2024 were missed.
The last formal update to the project was the "Maghni Moment 1" video shared on the IndieGoGo updates page in May. In this video, (t=283) they outlined the expected milestones for the project, and stated that the project was aiming for a Q1 2025 release.
(direct link in case that pic isn't rendering... vocaverse dead )
The May 2024 publicly verifiable goal of "Beta demo #1" was the "clairo / amoeba" demo discussed in this thread (pg 17). Afterward, nothing public-facing came to be. "Beta demo #2, "Editor in action", "Duet", "Audine demo", and "Donovan demo" are nowhere to be seen.
2) None of the recent goings-on of the project have been communicated via the IndieGoGo.
I think this can probably be explained at least partially by the "VocaTone/Misbah" split, since it seems like VocaTone were the ones primarily handling the crowdfund and communications. Austin, VocaTone head, was the one posting there.
Since October, the primary source for information looks to be the Twitter account @CrescendiaEng, which shared the new homepage and retweeted a clip of the GUI that month. This makes sense given the presence of the new LLC and etc, but since this change of information delivery was not communicated to backers via the IndieGoGo campaign, I'm not sure how you'd get this information to them. Assuming people will get it via algorithmic proximity might be safe based on the audience, but feels like less sure of a bet especially given recent events.
Going "stealth mode" seems to be somewhat in the project's favor at this point, but these transitions should definitely be made clear so no-one ends up in trouble.
3) Engine delayed & implied eventual release will be "early access".
So that brings us to today. @CrescendiaEng acount retweets
this thread written by Cinna. To summarize:
ackgnowledgement of silence, reward shipments, "determined to begin early access and launch commercially in 2025". Note that they do not use the word "delay" (I think they should) but they have changed the goalpost from "Q1 2025" to "sometime in 2025". So essentially the same thing.
Laying all of this out in a list almost feels wrong, or in the vein of "kicking them while they're down". But, I think these statuses deserve to be clearly laid out given the context of the project, when the developers are not doing it themselves.
About a year ago, posts and discussion about the IndieGoGo in this thread speculated that this project would suffer delays and observed patterns matching comparable past projects with management, project scope, and presentation. A lot of folks thought this was unnecessarily harsh or preemptive discussion. I truly can understand that perspective. It
was negative. But ultimately, we are here now... so what comes next?
So despite this year essentially being summed up as a series of "bummers" for this project, there are for sure some upsides. For one, it does seem like they still have fuel in the tank.
The phrasing of the Twitter thread inspires some confidence... it's the first time I felt that the developers were speaking on truly achievable timelines. Of course, with regard to the engine, since we know so little, it's really hard to say... but I certainly think that 2yrs of development time is far more actionable than one, even if 2 is also very aspirational for their stated scope. It is a little interesting that they keep soft-announcing new voicebanks without the engine's appearance, but hard to say what all will go into that.
I also think deciding to commit to sending out the backer rewards is a VERY smart choice for them as kickstarter and indiegogo backer awards are famously complex and expensive aspects of these projects. Absolutely a good choice to get that out of the way and at least bring something to their investors.
Maghni AI delay is like fork in kitchen but ultimately it looks like they have taken the steps necessary to position themselves advantageously for 2025. It would have been nice to see it happen from the jump, but progress is progress. Fingers crossed for more good news for them.