Perhaps my post wasn't worded well (which would be fair! I mainly wanted to provide an opinion that wasn't just "don't trust any crowdfund ever" and was less about Maghni itself; I didn't mean to imply that there was no cause for worry about this one at all) - I agree with you overall. Even with the WhiteCUL example I mentioned, ZAN-SHIN has had its own history of controversy though nobody probably expected the specific issues with that crowdfund to happen.ES' promises were grounded and smaller scope than Crescendia/VT's, whose project had untenable scope and excessive amount of red flags since its conception that had been discussed at length in this thread. I disagree with the framing of this outcome being a "failed coin flip".
We should neither fear monger nor give unfounded good faith, but instead, encourage critical thinking when deciding on backing a CF. It's true that sometimes, there are no red flags and things still go awry, but that was not the case with Maghni.
I do think that VocaTone's involvement played a large part in why people wanted this to succeed, however. Oliver has had and still does retain a large fanbase who desperately wanted to hear any sort of update for him, and Ausgris (now Aurum) also was an older project that people were excited to see come to life. I wouldn't blame them for backing with just that as their reasoning (and I'm not saying that's what you're implying either, of course) - from the very beginning, their financial and timeline goals were always lofty and has been a constant topic of discussion. But a lot of people looked past that and backed anyway because... well, maybe they could do it - that's my assumption anyway, since I'm not a backer myself (though I am very close with someone who did who primarily just wanted an Oliver update). VocaTone has released products in the past that people love, and that's enough for many to have trusted them at the time of the campaign's launch.
I mostly am just of the opinion that I wouldn't want to shame anyone for backing a project like this or to say "I told you so" - they wanted it to succeed more than anyone else.